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 Post subject: Re: What now?
PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2021 4:35 pm 
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Pokecheque wrote:
Bosc wrote:
Patrick wasn't a swing though. He was a concensus top-2 pick.


Yeah but the red flags were there, one big reason why the Devils opted for Hischer. He's turned out to be even worse health-wise than expected. Not sure where they go from there, but if Morgan Frost can make his way into the NHL (first go-around didn't go well obviously) then it might be a moot point.


Absolutely nobody had him outside of the top-2, even with injury concerns. I wouldn't say that's a swing?

https://thehockeywriters.com/2017-nhl-d ... -rankings/

http://www.mynhldraft.com/2017-draft/20 ... t-rankings

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 Post subject: Re: What now?
PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2021 5:27 pm 
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Bosc wrote:
Absolutely nobody had him outside of the top-2, even with injury concerns. I wouldn't say that's a swing?

https://thehockeywriters.com/2017-nhl-d ... -rankings/

http://www.mynhldraft.com/2017-draft/20 ... t-rankings


Which is why I used the Greg Oden analogy. He was hands-down the best player in that draft and still went first overall, but everyone knew what was going to happen. 105 NBA games and six years later, he was done. I'm shocked it was even that many.

I don't think you can consider that pick safe per se. He already had an injury history prior to the draft, and that injury history is precisely why the Devils passed on him. Now...I'm not about to say Philly was dumb for picking him, but there was inherent risk with that pick. It's possible they felt like the pick was worth that risk since they had chanced upon it by way of the stupid new lottery rules, but hey, it ain't like Cale Makar was a surefire star-in-the-making back in 2017. In fact, a lot of people thought that was a very risky pick at the time. I'm glad it panned out obviously, but I don't think Patrick was necessarily the "safe" choice either. Not sure what I would've done in that instance. I think I likely would've gone with Miro there, but I have the gift of hindsight.

Sometimes, the consensus gets it wrong. It happens, not very often, but it happens.


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